Qarabag v FC Twente: Conference League Prediction

What a huge celebration there was in Enschede and the surrounding area last May when FC Twente managed to finish fourth in the Eredivisie. Just under four months later, it looks as though the Tukkers might still miss out on European football after all. John van den Brom’s side must beat the highly rated Qarabag to retain any chance of reaching the group stage of the Conference League. We’ll tell you more about this match and treat you to our Qarabag v FC Twente prediction.

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Qarabag v FC Twente preview

FC Twente can still draw some hope from the fact that they were certainly the better side in the first leg. They had three times as many shots – 21 to 7 – and a higher ‘Expected Goals’ tally. In short, FC Twente certainly aren’t without a chance. Below you can read a brief overview of both teams.

Current Form & Team News

Qarabag

Like FC Twente, Qarabag also had a break from their domestic league last weekend. As a result, the team from Qarabag still have three points after one match. What is clear, however, is that Gurban Gurbanov’s side will be brimming with confidence. They won their opening match in the Azerbaijani Premier League, whilst earlier in August they knocked Dinamo Kiev out of European competition. Following their victory in Enschede, can they also come out on top in this match?

FC Twente

This is not the first time we have reported that things are turbulent at FC Twente. Indeed, it is nothing short of a disaster that there is a very real chance they will miss out on European football. It is also striking that someone like Wout Weghorst, the club’s biggest signing, is coming in for a great deal of criticism. The towering striker, who previously played for Ajax and Manchester United, is performing very poorly and does not seem to fit into the team’s style of play. This is particularly true given that the team actually needs a striker who can link up with his teammates, such as Sam Lammers. Who will we see starting up front on Thursday?

Head-to-Head

Qarabag and FC Twente have faced each other remarkably often in the past. The two teams have met seven times, five of which were in European competitions. Qarabag won once, FC Twente won once, and there were three draws. In short: the record between them is very even.

Expected line-ups

Qarabag (4-2-3-1):

Zlomislic, Langa, Varkonyi, Huseynov, Matheus, Jankovic, Lobato, Mouaddib, Kady Borges, Kashchuk, Qurbanly

FC Twente (4-1-4-1):

Unnerstall, Adelgaard, Nijstad, Pröpper, van Rooij, Zerrouki, Orjasaeter, Weidmann, Rots, Pjaca, Weghorst

Qarabag v FC Twente betting tips

Betting tip 1: Qarabag to win

We reckon FC Twente are in for a very tough night in the far east of Europe. In fact, we think the home side will ‘simply’ win this match, meaning FC Twente won’t be playing in Europe this season. A win for Qarabag, who previously beat Dinamo Kyiv 2–0 at home, will earn you odds of 2.95.

Betting tip 2: Both teams to score – NO

We reckon this will be a match in which only one team scores. Firstly, because Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five matches. Furthermore, the ‘both teams to score – no’ bet has been a winner in eight of their last nine matches. This bet offers odds of 2.07.

Prediction: Qarabag v FC Twente

Final score: Qarabag 1–0 FC Twente
As mentioned, we expect Qarabag to win this match, with FC Twente failing to score. This is mainly because one of Azerbaijan’s top clubs concedes very few goals at home. We are therefore predicting a 1-0 win for Qarabag.